Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →63.3%
Stuttgart
20.5%
Draw
16.2%
M'gladbach
Expected Goals (xG)
2.23
Stuttgart
vs
1.05
M'gladbach
Markets
BTTS58.8%
Over 0.595.7%
Over 1.584.5%
Over 2.563.7%
Over 3.541.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.8%
1-1
9.4%
2-0
9.3%
1-0
7.8%
3-1
7.3%
3-0
6.9%
2-2
5.2%
1-2
4.6%
0-0
4.3%
4-1
4.1%
4-0
3.9%
3-2
3.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).