⚽ FootballData
2 – 1
HHT: 10CSV

05 Dec 2015

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
54.4%
Trapani
27.2%
Draw
18.4%
Avellino

Expected Goals (xG)

1.61

Trapani

vs
0.84

Avellino

Markets

BTTS46.7%
Over 0.590.3%
Over 1.571.5%
Over 2.544.4%
Over 3.523.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.8%
1-0
12.7%
2-0
11.2%
0-0
9.7%
2-1
9.4%
0-1
6.1%
3-0
6.0%
3-1
5.1%
1-2
4.9%
2-2
4.0%
0-2
3.1%
4-0
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).