Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.4%
FeralpiSalo
29.1%
Draw
43.5%
Modena
Expected Goals (xG)
1.08
FeralpiSalo
vs
1.42
Modena
Markets
BTTS51.2%
Over 0.590.5%
Over 1.572.4%
Over 2.545.4%
Over 3.524.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.9%
0-1
10.4%
0-0
9.5%
1-2
8.9%
0-2
8.3%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
6.8%
2-2
4.8%
2-0
4.8%
1-3
4.2%
0-3
3.9%
3-1
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).