Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →64.5%
Mainz
22.6%
Draw
12.9%
Heidenheim
Expected Goals (xG)
1.90
Mainz
vs
0.73
Heidenheim
Markets
BTTS44.8%
Over 0.592.1%
Over 1.574.6%
Over 2.549.0%
Over 3.527.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
13.0%
1-0
13.0%
1-1
10.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-0
8.3%
0-0
7.9%
3-1
6.0%
0-1
4.6%
4-0
3.9%
1-2
3.6%
2-2
3.5%
4-1
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).