Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →60.4%
Coventry
22.5%
Draw
17.1%
Watford
Expected Goals (xG)
2.01
Coventry
vs
0.99
Watford
Markets
BTTS55.0%
Over 0.594.3%
Over 1.580.7%
Over 2.557.6%
Over 3.535.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.6%
2-0
10.1%
2-1
10.0%
1-0
9.3%
3-0
6.8%
3-1
6.7%
0-0
5.7%
2-2
4.9%
1-2
4.9%
0-1
4.2%
4-0
3.4%
4-1
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).