Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →22.0%
Sheffield United
22.8%
Draw
55.2%
Burnley
Expected Goals (xG)
1.35
Sheffield United
vs
2.18
Burnley
Markets
BTTS66.9%
Over 0.595.9%
Over 1.587.9%
Over 2.568.5%
Over 3.547.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.8%
1-2
9.4%
0-2
7.0%
1-3
6.8%
2-2
6.3%
2-1
5.8%
0-1
5.2%
0-3
5.1%
2-3
4.6%
0-0
4.1%
1-4
3.7%
3-2
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).