Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →65.8%
Cagliari
23.9%
Draw
10.3%
Benevento
Expected Goals (xG)
1.78
Cagliari
vs
0.57
Benevento
Markets
BTTS37.0%
Over 0.589.5%
Over 1.568.9%
Over 2.541.6%
Over 3.521.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.1%
2-0
15.1%
1-1
10.6%
0-0
10.5%
3-0
9.0%
2-1
8.6%
3-1
5.1%
0-1
4.5%
4-0
4.0%
1-2
2.7%
2-2
2.4%
4-1
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).