Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →17.1%
Virtus Entella
27.7%
Draw
55.2%
Monza
Expected Goals (xG)
0.76
Virtus Entella
vs
1.56
Monza
Markets
BTTS43.3%
Over 0.589.1%
Over 1.568.6%
Over 2.541.1%
Over 3.520.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.1%
1-1
12.8%
0-2
11.9%
0-0
10.9%
1-2
9.1%
1-0
6.3%
0-3
6.2%
1-3
4.7%
2-1
4.4%
2-2
3.5%
2-0
2.8%
0-4
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).