Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.5%
Southend
25.6%
Draw
29.9%
Chesterfield
Expected Goals (xG)
1.68
Southend
vs
1.35
Chesterfield
Markets
BTTS61.2%
Over 0.594.3%
Over 1.581.5%
Over 2.558.4%
Over 3.536.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.9%
2-1
9.2%
1-2
7.4%
1-0
7.2%
2-0
6.8%
2-2
6.2%
0-0
5.7%
0-1
5.6%
3-1
5.2%
0-2
4.4%
3-0
3.8%
3-2
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).