Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →54.6%
Pisa
26.5%
Draw
19.0%
Chievo
Expected Goals (xG)
1.68
Pisa
vs
0.90
Chievo
Markets
BTTS49.4%
Over 0.591.3%
Over 1.574.0%
Over 2.547.6%
Over 3.525.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.6%
1-0
11.6%
2-0
10.7%
2-1
9.6%
0-0
8.7%
3-0
6.0%
0-1
5.7%
3-1
5.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-2
4.3%
0-2
3.1%
4-0
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).