Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →90.2%
Sp Braga
7.6%
Draw
2.3%
AVS
Expected Goals (xG)
3.42
Sp Braga
vs
0.49
AVS
Markets
BTTS37.4%
Over 0.597.7%
Over 1.590.3%
Over 2.574.7%
Over 3.554.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
13.4%
2-0
11.8%
4-0
11.5%
5-0
7.8%
1-0
6.6%
3-1
6.5%
2-1
5.7%
4-1
5.6%
5-1
3.8%
1-1
3.6%
0-0
2.3%
3-2
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).