Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →76.0%
Fenerbahce
16.5%
Draw
7.5%
Kasimpasa
Expected Goals (xG)
2.86
Fenerbahce
vs
0.90
Kasimpasa
Markets
BTTS57.5%
Over 0.596.2%
Over 1.590.4%
Over 2.572.4%
Over 3.551.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
9.5%
3-0
9.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-1
8.2%
1-1
7.5%
4-0
6.5%
4-1
5.8%
1-0
5.2%
2-2
3.9%
0-0
3.8%
5-0
3.7%
3-2
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).