Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →26.8%
Luton
32.6%
Draw
40.6%
Sunderland
Expected Goals (xG)
0.87
Luton
vs
1.14
Sunderland
Markets
BTTS40.7%
Over 0.585.5%
Over 1.560.8%
Over 2.532.6%
Over 3.514.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
14.5%
1-1
14.4%
0-1
14.1%
1-0
10.6%
0-2
8.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-1
5.8%
2-0
5.1%
2-2
3.3%
0-3
3.3%
1-3
2.9%
3-1
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).