Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.4%
Bolton
27.0%
Draw
23.6%
Exeter
Expected Goals (xG)
1.28
Bolton
vs
0.77
Exeter
Markets
BTTS37.7%
Over 0.588.2%
Over 1.559.6%
Over 2.533.6%
Over 3.515.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.5%
0-0
11.8%
1-1
11.6%
0-1
11.0%
2-0
10.5%
2-1
8.1%
1-2
4.9%
3-0
4.5%
0-2
3.8%
3-1
3.4%
2-2
3.1%
4-0
1.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).