Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.1%
Osasuna
28.5%
Draw
18.4%
Alaves
Expected Goals (xG)
1.37
Osasuna
vs
0.68
Alaves
Markets
BTTS37.2%
Over 0.586.9%
Over 1.561.1%
Over 2.533.8%
Over 3.515.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.3%
0-0
13.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-0
12.0%
0-1
8.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-0
5.5%
1-2
4.1%
3-1
3.8%
0-2
3.0%
2-2
2.8%
4-0
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).