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28 Jan 2023 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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64.1%
Hibernian
22.2%
Draw
13.6%
Aberdeen

Expected Goals (xG)

1.95

Hibernian

vs
0.79

Aberdeen

Markets

BTTS47.4%
Over 0.592.9%
Over 1.576.5%
Over 2.551.6%
Over 3.529.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
12.3%
1-0
12.0%
1-1
10.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-0
8.0%
0-0
7.1%
3-1
6.3%
0-1
4.4%
4-0
3.9%
1-2
3.9%
2-2
3.8%
4-1
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).