Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →61.3%
Estoril
20.1%
Draw
18.6%
Farense
Expected Goals (xG)
2.02
Estoril
vs
1.01
Farense
Markets
BTTS54.7%
Over 0.595.6%
Over 1.580.1%
Over 2.558.4%
Over 3.536.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
10.2%
2-1
10.0%
2-0
9.9%
1-1
9.4%
3-1
6.7%
3-0
6.7%
0-1
5.3%
2-2
5.0%
1-2
5.0%
0-0
4.4%
4-1
3.4%
3-2
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).