Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →16.5%
Akhmat Grozny
30.5%
Draw
53.0%
Zenit
Expected Goals (xG)
0.67
Akhmat Grozny
vs
1.39
Zenit
Markets
BTTS38.0%
Over 0.585.8%
Over 1.562.3%
Over 2.533.9%
Over 3.515.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
16.4%
0-0
14.2%
1-1
13.3%
0-2
12.3%
1-2
8.2%
1-0
7.1%
0-3
5.7%
2-1
4.0%
1-3
3.8%
2-0
2.8%
2-2
2.7%
0-4
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).