Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →62.0%
Boston Utd
21.1%
Draw
16.9%
Morecambe
Expected Goals (xG)
2.21
Boston Utd
vs
1.09
Morecambe
Markets
BTTS59.9%
Over 0.595.6%
Over 1.584.9%
Over 2.564.1%
Over 3.542.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-0
9.0%
1-0
7.4%
3-1
7.2%
3-0
6.6%
2-2
5.3%
1-2
4.8%
0-0
4.4%
4-1
4.0%
3-2
3.9%
4-0
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).