Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.9%
Sunderland
28.3%
Draw
21.8%
Queens Park Rangers
Expected Goals (xG)
1.49
Sunderland
vs
0.90
Queens Park Rangers
Markets
BTTS47.2%
Over 0.589.9%
Over 1.570.1%
Over 2.543.0%
Over 3.522.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.3%
1-0
12.6%
2-0
10.1%
0-0
10.1%
2-1
9.2%
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.6%
3-0
5.0%
3-1
4.6%
2-2
4.1%
0-2
3.7%
3-2
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).