Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →56.5%
Man United
18.0%
Draw
25.5%
Blackfield & Langley
Expected Goals (xG)
2.59
Man United
vs
1.74
Blackfield & Langley
Markets
BTTS76.1%
Over 0.598.9%
Over 1.592.8%
Over 2.580.7%
Over 3.562.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
7.7%
2-2
6.7%
3-1
6.6%
3-2
5.8%
1-1
5.7%
1-2
5.2%
2-0
4.4%
4-1
4.3%
2-3
3.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-2
3.7%
1-0
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).