Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.6%
Mouscron
28.7%
Draw
42.7%
Genk
Expected Goals (xG)
1.06
Mouscron
vs
1.35
Genk
Markets
BTTS49.3%
Over 0.590.3%
Over 1.570.2%
Over 2.543.4%
Over 3.522.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.6%
0-1
11.3%
0-0
9.7%
1-0
8.7%
1-2
8.7%
0-2
8.2%
2-1
6.8%
2-0
5.0%
2-2
4.6%
1-3
3.9%
0-3
3.7%
3-1
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).