Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →63.2%
Galatasaray
27.0%
Draw
9.8%
Göztepe
Expected Goals (xG)
1.80
Galatasaray
vs
0.63
Göztepe
Markets
BTTS41.5%
Over 0.588.7%
Over 1.572.3%
Over 2.543.9%
Over 3.522.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
14.3%
1-0
13.3%
1-1
12.5%
0-0
11.3%
2-1
9.0%
3-0
8.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-0
3.9%
1-2
3.1%
0-1
3.0%
2-2
2.8%
4-1
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).