Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →80.3%
Santander
12.0%
Draw
7.7%
Cartagena
Expected Goals (xG)
3.03
Santander
vs
0.87
Cartagena
Markets
BTTS55.3%
Over 0.598.0%
Over 1.590.0%
Over 2.574.7%
Over 3.554.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
9.4%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
8.2%
2-1
8.1%
4-0
7.1%
1-0
6.2%
4-1
6.2%
1-1
5.3%
5-0
4.3%
5-1
3.7%
3-2
3.6%
2-2
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).