Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →18.3%
Aris
30.4%
Draw
51.3%
PAOK
Expected Goals (xG)
0.70
Aris
vs
1.35
PAOK
Markets
BTTS38.6%
Over 0.586.1%
Over 1.562.0%
Over 2.533.8%
Over 3.515.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
16.2%
0-0
13.9%
1-1
13.3%
0-2
11.7%
1-2
8.2%
1-0
7.9%
0-3
5.3%
2-1
4.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-0
3.2%
2-2
2.9%
0-4
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).