Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →19.5%
Dover Athletic
27.2%
Draw
53.4%
Grimsby
Expected Goals (xG)
0.86
Dover Athletic
vs
1.59
Grimsby
Markets
BTTS47.0%
Over 0.590.4%
Over 1.571.2%
Over 2.544.3%
Over 3.523.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.8%
0-1
12.7%
0-2
10.8%
0-0
9.6%
1-2
9.4%
1-0
6.5%
0-3
5.7%
2-1
5.1%
1-3
5.0%
2-2
4.1%
2-0
3.2%
0-4
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).