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27 Sept 2025 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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69.2%
St. Gilloise
21.4%
Draw
9.4%
Westerlo

Expected Goals (xG)

1.90

St. Gilloise

vs
0.55

Westerlo

Markets

BTTS36.5%
Over 0.590.8%
Over 1.570.7%
Over 2.544.2%
Over 3.523.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
15.9%
2-0
15.6%
3-0
9.8%
1-1
9.6%
0-0
9.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-0
4.7%
0-1
4.2%
4-1
2.6%
1-2
2.5%
2-2
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).