Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →55.1%
Wrexham
25.7%
Draw
19.3%
Stockport
Expected Goals (xG)
1.72
Wrexham
vs
0.93
Stockport
Markets
BTTS50.7%
Over 0.592.0%
Over 1.575.2%
Over 2.549.5%
Over 3.527.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.2%
1-0
11.2%
2-0
10.4%
2-1
9.7%
0-0
8.0%
3-0
6.0%
0-1
5.6%
3-1
5.6%
1-2
5.3%
2-2
4.5%
0-2
3.1%
3-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).