Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.5%
Metz
23.6%
Draw
29.9%
Clermont
Expected Goals (xG)
1.57
Metz
vs
1.20
Clermont
Markets
BTTS54.8%
Over 0.594.4%
Over 1.575.8%
Over 2.552.5%
Over 3.530.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.1%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.3%
0-1
8.2%
2-0
7.7%
1-2
7.1%
2-2
5.6%
0-0
5.6%
3-1
4.9%
0-2
4.5%
3-0
4.0%
3-2
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).