Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →57.3%
Fiorentina
23.3%
Draw
19.4%
Pisa
Expected Goals (xG)
1.72
Fiorentina
vs
0.89
Pisa
Markets
BTTS48.2%
Over 0.592.9%
Over 1.573.3%
Over 2.548.5%
Over 3.526.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.8%
1-1
11.0%
2-0
10.9%
2-1
9.7%
0-0
7.1%
0-1
6.7%
3-0
6.3%
3-1
5.6%
1-2
5.0%
2-2
4.3%
0-2
2.9%
4-0
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).