Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.7%
Havant & Waterlooville
25.4%
Draw
34.8%
Man United
Expected Goals (xG)
1.36
Havant & Waterlooville
vs
1.26
Man United
Markets
BTTS52.8%
Over 0.593.1%
Over 1.573.2%
Over 2.548.6%
Over 3.526.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.1%
1-0
10.3%
0-1
9.6%
2-1
8.5%
1-2
7.8%
0-0
6.9%
2-0
6.8%
0-2
5.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-1
3.9%
1-3
3.3%
3-0
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).