Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →20.4%
Union Berlin
21.8%
Draw
57.9%
FC Koln
Expected Goals (xG)
1.21
Union Berlin
vs
2.13
FC Koln
Markets
BTTS62.5%
Over 0.595.9%
Over 1.585.3%
Over 2.565.0%
Over 3.543.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.7%
1-2
9.7%
0-2
8.0%
1-3
6.9%
0-1
6.9%
2-2
5.9%
0-3
5.7%
2-1
5.5%
2-3
4.2%
0-0
4.1%
1-4
3.7%
1-0
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).