⚽ FootballData
Morton

Home

5 – 1
HHT: 21CSV

03 Nov 2018

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
28.0%
Morton
31.2%
Draw
40.9%
Partick

Expected Goals (xG)

1.09

Morton

vs
1.35

Partick

Markets

BTTS51.2%
Over 0.589.2%
Over 1.572.0%
Over 2.544.1%
Over 3.523.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.9%
0-0
10.8%
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.7%
0-2
8.0%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.0%
2-0
5.1%
2-2
4.7%
1-3
3.9%
0-3
3.6%
3-1
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).