Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →60.2%
Baltika Kaliningrad
32.3%
Draw
7.5%
Rostov
Expected Goals (xG)
1.23
Baltika Kaliningrad
vs
0.28
Rostov
Markets
BTTS18.2%
Over 0.576.9%
Over 1.545.4%
Over 2.519.3%
Over 3.56.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
26.3%
0-0
23.1%
2-0
16.7%
1-1
8.5%
3-0
6.8%
0-1
5.3%
2-1
4.7%
4-0
2.1%
3-1
1.9%
1-2
1.1%
0-2
0.9%
2-2
0.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).