Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →21.2%
Estrela
25.1%
Draw
53.7%
Gil Vicente
Expected Goals (xG)
1.01
Estrela
vs
1.73
Gil Vicente
Markets
BTTS52.9%
Over 0.592.8%
Over 1.576.5%
Over 2.551.5%
Over 3.529.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.0%
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.8%
0-2
9.7%
0-0
7.2%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
5.7%
1-3
5.6%
0-3
5.6%
2-2
4.9%
2-0
3.3%
2-3
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).