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19 Oct 2025 · 14:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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36.3%
Holker Old Boys
25.7%
Draw
38.0%
St. Gallen

Expected Goals (xG)

1.72

Holker Old Boys

vs
1.76

St. Gallen

Markets

BTTS69.6%
Over 0.595.3%
Over 1.587.8%
Over 2.567.5%
Over 3.545.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.0%
1-2
8.2%
2-1
8.0%
2-2
7.1%
1-3
4.8%
0-2
4.8%
0-0
4.7%
3-1
4.6%
2-0
4.6%
2-3
4.1%
3-2
4.0%
0-1
3.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).