Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.5%
Fleetwood Town
24.8%
Draw
35.7%
Salford
Expected Goals (xG)
1.38
Fleetwood Town
vs
1.30
Salford
Markets
BTTS53.9%
Over 0.593.7%
Over 1.574.2%
Over 2.550.2%
Over 3.528.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.8%
1-0
10.0%
0-1
9.4%
2-1
8.5%
1-2
8.0%
2-0
6.5%
0-0
6.3%
0-2
5.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-1
3.9%
1-3
3.5%
3-0
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).