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DHT: 01CSV

23 Feb 2021 · 19:00

Alloa

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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61.5%
Inverness C
23.7%
Draw
14.8%
Alloa

Expected Goals (xG)

2.04

Inverness C

vs
0.93

Alloa

Markets

BTTS54.1%
Over 0.593.3%
Over 1.581.1%
Over 2.556.8%
Over 3.534.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.3%
2-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
1-0
9.0%
3-0
7.3%
3-1
6.7%
0-0
6.7%
2-2
4.6%
1-2
4.5%
4-0
3.7%
4-1
3.4%
0-1
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).