Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →60.2%
Le Mans
23.4%
Draw
16.4%
Nancy
Expected Goals (xG)
1.57
Le Mans
vs
0.66
Nancy
Markets
BTTS37.3%
Over 0.590.1%
Over 1.564.3%
Over 2.538.4%
Over 3.518.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.8%
2-0
13.2%
1-1
10.2%
0-0
9.9%
2-1
8.7%
0-1
8.0%
3-0
6.9%
3-1
4.6%
1-2
3.7%
2-2
2.9%
4-0
2.7%
0-2
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).