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AHT: 00CSV

06 May 2018

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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51.9%
Braunschweig
27.2%
Draw
20.9%
Ingolstadt

Expected Goals (xG)

1.61

Braunschweig

vs
0.94

Ingolstadt

Markets

BTTS50.0%
Over 0.591.1%
Over 1.573.5%
Over 2.546.9%
Over 3.525.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.0%
1-0
11.4%
2-0
10.1%
2-1
9.5%
0-0
8.9%
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.6%
3-0
5.4%
3-1
5.1%
2-2
4.5%
0-2
3.5%
3-2
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).