Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →20.8%
Clermont
23.8%
Draw
55.4%
Lille
Expected Goals (xG)
0.85
Clermont
vs
1.59
Lille
Markets
BTTS44.9%
Over 0.591.9%
Over 1.569.3%
Over 2.544.0%
Over 3.522.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.5%
1-1
11.1%
0-2
11.0%
1-2
9.4%
1-0
8.1%
0-0
8.1%
0-3
5.8%
2-1
5.0%
1-3
4.9%
2-2
4.0%
2-0
3.2%
0-4
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).