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09 Mar 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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26.6%
Forest Green
26.3%
Draw
47.2%
Walsall

Expected Goals (xG)

0.95

Forest Green

vs
1.38

Walsall

Markets

BTTS45.3%
Over 0.590.8%
Over 1.567.0%
Over 2.541.1%
Over 3.520.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
14.0%
1-1
12.2%
1-0
9.8%
0-2
9.2%
0-0
9.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-1
6.1%
2-0
4.4%
0-3
4.2%
2-2
4.2%
1-3
4.0%
3-1
1.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).