Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →9.7%
Sheffield Wednesday
20.9%
Draw
69.4%
Middlesbrough
Expected Goals (xG)
0.62
Sheffield Wednesday
vs
2.01
Middlesbrough
Markets
BTTS40.9%
Over 0.592.1%
Over 1.574.7%
Over 2.549.0%
Over 3.527.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
14.5%
0-1
13.7%
0-3
9.7%
1-1
9.7%
1-2
9.0%
0-0
7.9%
1-3
6.1%
0-4
4.9%
1-0
3.7%
1-4
3.1%
2-2
2.8%
2-1
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).