Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →26.3%
Elfsborg
26.9%
Draw
46.9%
Panathinaikos
Expected Goals (xG)
1.18
Elfsborg
vs
1.64
Panathinaikos
Markets
BTTS57.2%
Over 0.592.8%
Over 1.578.5%
Over 2.553.6%
Over 3.531.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.8%
1-2
9.5%
0-1
8.5%
0-2
8.0%
0-0
7.2%
2-1
6.8%
1-0
5.8%
2-2
5.6%
1-3
5.2%
0-3
4.4%
2-0
4.1%
2-3
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).