Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.6%
Parma
33.4%
Draw
25.0%
Cremonese
Expected Goals (xG)
0.99
Parma
vs
0.69
Cremonese
Markets
BTTS31.0%
Over 0.581.5%
Over 1.549.7%
Over 2.523.6%
Over 3.58.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
18.7%
0-0
18.5%
0-1
13.1%
1-1
12.5%
2-0
9.1%
2-1
6.3%
0-2
4.4%
1-2
4.4%
3-0
3.0%
2-2
2.2%
3-1
2.1%
0-3
1.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).