Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →57.2%
Hamilton
26.6%
Draw
16.1%
St Mirren
Expected Goals (xG)
1.58
Hamilton
vs
0.72
St Mirren
Markets
BTTS41.4%
Over 0.589.2%
Over 1.567.6%
Over 2.540.3%
Over 3.520.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.1%
2-0
12.5%
1-1
12.2%
0-0
10.8%
2-1
9.0%
3-0
6.6%
0-1
6.5%
3-1
4.7%
1-2
4.1%
2-2
3.2%
4-0
2.6%
0-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).