Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.5%
Zaragoza
29.8%
Draw
16.7%
Ferrol
Expected Goals (xG)
1.25
Zaragoza
vs
0.56
Ferrol
Markets
BTTS30.4%
Over 0.583.7%
Over 1.553.9%
Over 2.527.2%
Over 3.511.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
20.6%
0-0
16.3%
2-0
12.8%
1-1
11.3%
0-1
9.3%
2-1
7.2%
3-0
5.3%
1-2
3.2%
3-1
3.0%
0-2
2.6%
2-2
2.0%
4-0
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).