Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →30.4%
Lokomotiv Moskva
25.0%
Draw
44.5%
Krasnodar
Expected Goals (xG)
1.48
Lokomotiv Moskva
vs
1.82
Krasnodar
Markets
BTTS66.0%
Over 0.595.1%
Over 1.585.4%
Over 2.564.1%
Over 3.542.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.1%
1-2
9.0%
2-1
7.4%
2-2
6.7%
0-2
6.1%
0-1
5.5%
1-3
5.5%
0-0
4.9%
1-0
4.3%
2-3
4.1%
2-0
4.0%
0-3
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).