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02 Sept 2023 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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27.9%
Northampton
26.9%
Draw
45.2%
Wycombe

Expected Goals (xG)

0.89

Northampton

vs
1.24

Wycombe

Markets

BTTS40.9%
Over 0.589.2%
Over 1.561.7%
Over 2.535.9%
Over 3.516.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
15.8%
1-1
12.0%
1-0
11.7%
0-0
10.8%
0-2
9.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-1
5.9%
2-0
4.8%
0-3
3.7%
2-2
3.6%
1-3
3.3%
3-1
1.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).