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28 Mar 2023 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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44.4%
AFC Wimbledon
30.6%
Draw
25.0%
Walsall

Expected Goals (xG)

1.10

AFC Wimbledon

vs
0.74

Walsall

Markets

BTTS34.3%
Over 0.584.7%
Over 1.554.3%
Over 2.528.0%
Over 3.511.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
18.0%
0-0
15.3%
1-1
12.4%
0-1
12.3%
2-0
9.6%
2-1
7.1%
1-2
4.8%
0-2
4.3%
3-0
3.5%
2-2
2.6%
3-1
2.6%
1-3
1.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).